Future of Media 2008 Summary
July 15, 2008 10:55 pmThe simultaneous, cross-continent Future of Media summit was held today by the Future Exploration Network. Media folk in Silicon Valley and Sydney participated in pan-Pacific panels and roundtable discussions on predictions of Media’s future. The Twitter backchannel was very active as usual. A good train of consciousness summary can be found at Summize.

Future of Media report
First up was Ross Dawson, beamed in live from Silicon Valley to cover off the highlights of the Future of Media 2008 Report. The report highlights seven driving forces shaping Media:
- Increasing Media Consumption
- Fragmentation
- Participation
- Personalisation
- New Revenue Models
- Generational Change
- Increasing Bandwidth
The Future of Media Lifecycle with a “Personal Cloud”, “Precipitation of Participation” and “Diffusion of Memes” provides an interesting visualisation of Media.
Future of TV and Video panel
Panelists:
- Mark Goldman, COO, Current TV
- Mark Antonitis, President and General Manager, KRON-TV
- Bruce Meagher, Director, Strategy and Communications, SBS
- Mark Pesce, Founder, FutureSt Consulting
Notes:
Mark Antonitis provided a lively discussion of his vision of media - to make money via world domination. He obviously has a wealth of commercial experience in (traditional) media, but is perhaps still playing by the traditional playbook. The basic synopsis of his strategy is media commoditisation: producing the most content at the minimum quality in the cheapest way. He also asserted that combining and editing content was more valuable than the typical User Generated Content production. The Twitter backchannel disapproved.
He went on to say “you have to have an editor, somebody overseeing the process, a quality control system, to provide a singular view by a person or organisation that’s consumable by you.” More of the Old Media command and control mindset.
Mark Pesce provided a rebuttal to this with the visceral example that “the watercooler effect is dead”. He says there is a transition from time-based aggregation to salience-based aggregation, based on reputation and relationships. Mull those deep insights over for a while.
One interesting point that Mark Antonitis made was that one of the values provided by Mainstream Media (MSM) is “discovering things I didn’t know I should care about.” That’s a fair point, and a common problem for recommendation engines, restricting views vs broadening them. But there are social media tools including Twitter, Google News and FriendFeed that are just as useful and in many cases more useful for this discovery.
Future of Privacy and Personalised Advertising panels
Panelists:
- Jason White, Vice President of Media and Operations, Traffic Marketplace
- Jenny Williams, Director, Ideagarden
- Shannon Clark, Founder, Nearness Function
- Chris Saad, Chair, DataPortability.org and CEO, Faraday Media
Notes:
Chris Saad started by covering the DataPortability angle, observing that “people own their data, but they don’t have control over it.” There was general discussion around permission-based, highly relevant advertising. Chris also discussed the concept of vendor relationship management. The discussion from the panel sounded a whole lot like PureProfile.
Global Media Strategies
Panelists:
- Willie Pang, Head of Yahoo! Search Marketing, Australia and New Zealand
- Chris Tolles, CEO & Co-Founder, Topix
- Loic Le Meur, CEO, Seesmic
- Craig Blair, Executive Director, netus
Notes:
Chris Tolles gave a very interesting talk about Topix. They’re apparently an enemy of the state in Zimbabwe according to Chris. He said they are big in Des Moines and are focussed on hyperlocal conversations.
Loic Le Meur of Seesmic then delivered an entertaining discussion of the differences between Northern Europeans (heavy wikipedia usage, low blogging) compared to Southern Europeans (high ego-driven blogging activity). He also observed that you can’t just try to translate US tools to all parts of Europe.
On monetisation and strategy, Chris Tolles observed that the big advertising dollars are in the US, saying “whoever dominates the US first, wins. Very important in terms of advertising dollars.”
Ross Dawson provided some statistics that highlighted that the United Kingdom has highest per capita advertising spending, with Aus #2 and United States #4.
Talk turned to China and India. Most of the panelists observed that it will be very difficult for western companies to make an serious money in China (good luck, Seek and Sensis). Shannon Clark from the audience (and on Twitter) noted that at Supernova2008 he met someone from a Chinese firm with 25+ million active users and was ad supported via Chinese-sourced ads.
Craig Blair observed that it was possible to build a billion dollar business in Australia by partnering with an overseas company and bringing the idea into Australia.
Future of Journalism panel
Panelists:
- Jane Schulze, Media Editor, The Australian
- Hugh Martin, General Manager, APN Online
- Jonthan Este, Communications Director, Media Entertainment & Arts Alliance
- Stephen Quinn, Associate Professor, Deakin University
- Robert Scoble, Managing Director, Fast Company TV
Notes:
A typical MSM-centric conversation, led by Jane Schulze provided to be very unpopular on the Twitter backchannel. The basis of her argument was that bloggers weren’t good enough to “do journalism” and real journalists didn’t want to be labelled as bloggers. Interesting, but have you checked out, oh I don’t know your own employer’s Blogs section (40 blogs)? Your competition’s Blog section (no fewer than 24 blogs)?
The Business Spectator and Crikey were raised as examples of people (Alan Kohler, Robert Gottliebsen, et al in the first instance and Stephen Mayne and Eric Beecher & co in the second) building strong brands for themselves online.
Predictions for the Future of Media CEO panel
Panelists:
- Angelos Frangolopoulos, CEO, Australian News Channel
- Wendy Hogan, Managing Director, CNET Australia
- Mark Scott, Managing Director, ABC
- Belinda Rowe, CEO, Zenith Optimedia
Notes:
The final panel of the formal conference section of the summit began with Wendy Hogan noting (in counter point to Jane Schulze earlier) that CNET employs many journalists, for online only, who blog.
Mark Scott talked about the ABC’s digital strategy and pulled on examples from the BBC. Favourite quote: “We don’t talk much about monetisation at the ABC…it makes people nervous.”
Other coverage
Other early coverage available here:
Many others will no doubt be posting, once the after-drinks have worn off ![]()

July 16th, 2008 at 12:24 am
[...] it featured many big names in Media on the panels. For my full write up, have a read of the TechNation post that I wrote based on my [...]
July 16th, 2008 at 10:14 am
Very Nice summary (as usual) Seth.
July 16th, 2008 at 10:35 am
Excellent coverage, thanks Seth. I think the Chris Tolles, Loic Le Meur jousting was one of the highlights
July 16th, 2008 at 12:15 pm
honestly, who are some of these people and why do their opinions count more than others. is it just they get their names in front of organisers of these events. what were the metrics for this event? how many people were there? how many people were in the twitter back channel.
let’s start with some perspective otherwise it’s just a lot of futures talk without any real substance.
I’ve been working online since the early 90s and mean how many times have I read that the issues are.
1. Increasing Media Consumption
2. Fragmentation
3. Participation
4. Personalisation
5. New Revenue Models
6. Generational Change
7. Increasing Bandwidth
The fact is that some very large segments of media is actually decreasing in consumption i.e.print, magazines. Just go look at what’s happening in the States with these sectors.
Last year millions of people dropped off from watching television during the writers strike and no one knows where they really went.
So let’s do a reality check on the real future of media.
July 16th, 2008 at 4:07 pm
Hey Stephen
Are you familiar with Umair Haque’s work at Bubblegeneration / Havas Media Lab / Harvard Business Online.
I think he, more than any other thought leader on the topic, understands the real future of media.
July 16th, 2008 at 9:33 pm
Thanks Kim,
Will take a look.
I stand by my comments.
In Australia, Havas and almost every other media, advertising or digital agency I have had anything to do with or seen presentations from in the last 10 years continue to go over the same old ground with their clients about the “future of media”. And it’s about time they started offering some better and firsthand insight alongside actionable strategy that just doesn’t drag them down the same track everytime. No wonder agency structures continue to be subject to so much scrutiny.
Let’s discuss how many successful global digital brands have emerged out of Australia in the past 10 years and see how long the list is.
July 17th, 2008 at 11:49 am
Nice summary,
This view of the future seems heavily clouded by the present media landscape, no great revelations or revolutionary thinking to seen there.
August 6th, 2008 at 7:51 pm
[...] New media channels: Weakness, opportunity or threat? The way we communicate and consume media is changing. This is affecting old media channels and creating an explosion in the media market. According to a report (download) from Ross Dawson last month the growth in the global media and entertainment market is set to grow from $1.7 to a massive $5.4USD by 2024 (in todays terms). The report was part of Ross’s Future of Media Summit 2008, which Seth Yates did a good review on. [...]